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Crystal Palace vs Ipswich

Sat 12 Sep 2026, 14:00 UTC · Round 4 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Crystal Palace win: 43.4%

Draw: 27.1%

Ipswich win: 29.5%

Predicted: Crystal Palace

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 51.3%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 53.0%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.37

More corners: Crystal Palace (62.6% home / 37.4% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Crystal Palace

Yes

Probability Crystal Palace wins or draws: 78.8%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Crystal Palace Clearest lean of the available outcomes (43% vs next-best 30%). (43.0% model probability) Low

Corners Crystal Palace (more corners) (63.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Crystal Palace win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (79.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.